MSFTMicrosoft
$357
$2649.4B market cap

What $357 buys you

SegmentValue% of PriceType
Net Cash$72%auditable
Intelligent Cloud$16446%anchored
Productivity & Business Processes$15543%anchored
AI Platform Premium$72%speculative

Anchored: $319/sh (90%) · Speculative: $7/sh (2%)

Each bet

Intelligent Cloud

$164/sh
46% of MSFTanchored73 evidence

Will Azure maintain 35%+ growth through FY2026 given guided deceleration to 37-38% CC?

Intelligent Cloud is Microsoft's growth engine, generating $106.3B in FY2025 revenue at a 42% operating margin. Azure surpassed $75B in annual revenue for the first time and is tracking toward a $100B+ run rate by mid-2026. AI services contribute 13-16 percentage points of Azure's 39% growth rate,...

Productivity & Business Processes

$155/sh
43% of MSFTanchored42 evidence

Will Copilot penetration improve beyond 3.3% of M365 seats, or is $30/seat/month creating a ceiling?

Productivity & Business Processes is Microsoft's largest and highest-margin segment, generating $120.8B in FY2025 revenue with a 57.7% operating margin that expanded to 61.1% in H1 FY2026. The segment combines the M365 franchise (430M+ commercial seats), LinkedIn ($17.8B), and Dynamics 365 ($7B+,...

AI Platform Premium

$7/sh
2% of MSFTspeculative46 evidence

How quickly can Microsoft's MAI models substitute for OpenAI in Copilot?

Microsoft's AI Platform Premium captures the cross-cutting AI capabilities spanning all three reporting segments. The company is simultaneously the largest AI infrastructure investor, the largest AI platform distributor, and the largest AI model consumer -- a strategic position no other company...