VSTVistra
$150
$52.5B market cap

What $150 buys you

SegmentValue% of PriceType
Net Cash$53%auditable
Power Generation$8053%anchored
TXU Energy Retail$5033%anchored
Nuclear/AI Premium$1510%anchored

Anchored: $145/sh (96%) · Speculative: $0/sh (0%)

Each bet

Power Generation

$80/sh
53% of VSTanchored26 evidence

Vistra's power generation fleet includes ~6.6 GW nuclear (Comanche Peak in ERCOT, plus PJM plants), ~34 GW gas and coal in ERCOT and PJM, and growing solar and battery storage assets. The fleet is expanding to ~49 GW post-Cogentrix (5,500 MW) and Lotus (2,600 MW) acquisitions. The nuclear plants...

TXU Energy Retail

$50/sh
33% of VSTanchored10 evidence

Vistra's retail electricity business (primarily TXU Energy and Dynegy brands) serves approximately 4.3 million customers in Texas and other deregulated markets. The retail segment provides a natural hedge against generation exposure: when wholesale power prices rise, generation profits increase but...

Nuclear/AI Premium

$15/sh
10% of VSTanchored14 evidence

The Nuclear/AI Premium represents the incremental value from Vistra's nuclear fleet beyond its current contracted revenue. This includes: (1) Nuclear uprate potential (~660 MW, primarily at Comanche Peak, targeted for early 2030s), (2) optionality from additional hyperscaler PPAs beyond the...